Discounting a mean reverting cash flow
نویسنده
چکیده
Cash flows are often modeled using the random geometric growth model (geometric Brownian motion). One of the reasons for using this model is that it is simple to implement and it is a reasonable approximation to random growth cash flows such as stock prices. For this model the volatility of the cash flow grows multiplicatively over time. This multiplicative characteristic is shared by the usual form of discounting. That is, when discounting the discount factor is generally being compounded over time. This compounding is usually nothing more than multiplications of single period discount factors. Thus, the geometric characteristic of discounting relates with the geometric growth characteristic of the random geometric growth model.
منابع مشابه
Cash Flow Risk, Discounting Risk, and the Equity Premium Puzzle
This article investigates the impact of cash flow risk and discounting risk on the aggregate equity premium. Our approach is based on the idea that consumption is hard to measure empirically, so if we substitute out an empirically difficult-to-estimate marginal utility by a pricing kernel of observables, we can evaluate the empirical performance of an equilibrium asset pricing model in a differ...
متن کاملEOQ Model with Cash Flow Oriented and Quantity Dependent Under Trade Credits (TECHNICAL NOTE)
Inventory models in which the demand rate dependents on the stock- dependent are based on the common real- life observation that greater product availability tends to stimulate more sales. In this study we develop an inventory model to determine an optimal ordering policy for quantity dependent demand rate and time dependent holding cost items with delay in payments permitted by the supplier un...
متن کاملRisk Neutral Pricing
A classical problem, coming up frequently in practical business, is the valuation of future cash flows which are somewhat risky. By the term “risky” we mean that the payment is not of a deterministic nature; rather there is some uncertainty on the amount of the future cash flows. Of course, in real life virtually everything happening in the future contains some elements of riskiness. As a first...
متن کاملNumerical Methods of Option Pricing for Two Specific Models of Electricity Prices
In this work, two models are proposed for electricity prices as energy commodity prices which in addition to mean-reverting properties have jumps and spikes, due to non-storability of electricity. The models are simulated using an Euler scheme, and then the Monte-Carlo method is used to estimate the expectation of the discounted cash-flow under historical probability, which is considered as the...
متن کاملState Price Deflators and Stochastic Discounting
In this chapter, we describe stochastic discounting and valuation of random cash flows in a discrete time setting. We therefore introduce a consistent multiperiod pricing framework. This consistent multiperiod pricing framework is either based on state price deflators or on equivalent martingale measures. The connection between these two pricing concepts is then described by the market price of...
متن کامل